Strength in Steel amidst Macro Induced Weakness

India MetalsThe weaker steel demand story is a lot less relevant than the Chinese governments resolve to control steel prices. News of some auto producers in the US not accepting the midyear surcharges has renewed fears on steel demand. Domestic price increases may only be possible from April 09 and the demand may not taper significantly in the near term.

Using a higher equity risk premium and a higher risk-free rate, make changes to EBITDA used for valuation from FY10E to rolling four quarters. (more…)

Midcap Review – Sintex + Titan + Exide + Shriran Transport

CNXMCAP index fell 20.2% in June 2008 while Nifty and Sensex were down 17% and 18% respectively. The mid-cap discount to large caps is ~18% currently and in spite of the concerns of inflation related margin pressures and high oil price, there are currently quality companies available at attractive price in the mid-cap space. While none of them may be immune to the immediate effects of a broader market meltdown, the quality investment theses should prevail over a 12 month horizon. (more…)

ABG Shipyard not a Titanic, Board – Anand Rathi

Anand Rathi has reiterated its BUY rating while covering ABG Shipayrd with the Stress Case / Worst Case scenario.

ABG recently announced that it has deferred fund raising for Surat II, make us believe the project would be delayed, the same has not been included in Analysis. Further, expect the new capacity being built globally lead to tough competition in the industry. Thus assuming ABG’s utilization to fall to 70% FY12 on. (more…)

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