Bharati Shipyard – Slowing Down

Bharati Shipyard’s 4Q08 PAT was Rs327m (up 6% yoy) on revenue of Rs2.06bn (up 30% yoy). OPM stood at 27.3% compared to 33.1% in the previous-year corresponding period. This arose from higher subsidy being booked in the same quarter the previous year. Adjusted for this, the overall margin has improved.

The order book, at Rs46.35bn, has stagnated in the past six months, largely as capacities are running at optimum utilization. Management intends to procure further orders once additional progress on the Dabhol capex is made.

The Mangalore shipyard is scheduled to commence operations by Sep.-Oct.’08 (against 1Q09 earlier), and would be fully commissioned by Mar.’10. The yard at Dabhol has touched 25%
utilisation and is expected to reach its peak after FY10.

Balrampur Chini – Margins Sweetening

Despite 28% Q-o-Q decline in revenues to INR 3 bn (due to lower sugar sales volumes), there were operational positives in the Q2FY08 results. The sugar segment reported bumper profitability of 17.8% on better sugar realization and better spread of fixed costs on higher production base.

Co-products clocked yet another strong quarter with cogeneration reporting 61% Y-o-Y growth in revenues to INR 947 mn and 52% EBIT margins. Distillery revenues remained flat Y-o-Y at INR 498 mn. Strong performance across segments meant EBITDA margins tripled to 43%, while EBITDA grew 135% Y-o-Y to INR 1.3 bn. Despite higher fixed expenses in Q2FY08, (interest at INR 231 mn vis-a-vis INR 150 mn last year, depreciation at INR 306 mn vis-a-vis INR 194 mn a year ago), earnings grew 229% Y-o-Y to INR 657 mn.

Bears Hug Moser Baer

Moser Baer reported 4Q loss of ~Rs720m (standalone) compared to ~Rs400m profit in 4QFY07. For FY08, Moser reported standalone losses of Rs800m. Optical media outlook continues to be challenging with another sharp ASP fall this quarter. New businesses are still in investment mode and do not contribute much.

Optical Media is going through severe pricing pressures due to a difficult supply-demand scenario with the dispute on royalty issue between Philips and the large CDR producers. Management admitted that near-term challenges are likely to continue.

PV business had $20m revenue in 4Q. The 40 MW crystalline silicon line is being expanded to 80 MW soon and production capacity of solar modules has been expanded to 40 MW.

TAJGVK Hotels & Resorts Ltd

TAJ GVK reported 5.4% yoy increase in sales as ARRs for Chandigarh increased by 14% yoy while those for Taj Krishna in Hyderabad remained flat as compared to a year ago. Operating margins improved marginally by 30bps yoy as other expenditure declined yoy.

During the quarter, the company carried out routine renovation work which led to higher depreciation charge but a lower tax outgo led to 7% rise in net profit. For the full year FY08, PAT increased 9.5% as ARRs rose 3.7% on average across four properties.

The company is expected to commission its 215 room hotel in Chennai in May taking total room inventory to 899 rooms. The company is expected to report a Modest EPS Growth of Rs 12.8 for FY09.

Subros meets expectations

For 4QFY2008, Subros Limited clocked 2.4% growth in Net Sales to Rs187.8cr, which was largely in line with our expectation of Rs188.1cr. Sales growth came on the back of volume growth of 7.6% while average realisations declined 4.8% yoy. Subros sold 1,43,717 AC units in 4QFY2008 as against 1,33,581 sold in 3QFY2008. The company’s Bottom-line, which increased 9.8% yoy to Rs8.9cr was also in line with our expectation of Rs8.7cr. Margins were however, marginally above our expectations primarily due to lower raw material costs.

During 4QFY2008, Subros witnessed a 115bp yoy increase in EBITDA Margins owing to lower Raw Material cost, which declined by almost 210bp yoy. Raw Material costs accounted for over 68.8% of Sales (70.9% in 4QFY2007). Subros reported a 9.8% jump in Net Profit wherein Net
Profit Margins improved by 30bp.

For FY2008, Subros clocked 2.4% growth in Net Sales to Rs662.7cr driven by around 8.3% yoy growth in volume while realisations declined by 5.4% yoy. Expect Subros to report an EPS of Rs 5.75 for FY2009.

Marico Ltd – Results Review

For 4QFY2008, Marico Limited posted a modest Topline growth of 17.8% yoy to Rs468cr (Rs397cr) on a consolidated basis in line with our expectation of an 18.6% growth to Rs471cr. However, this was the first quarter of below 20% Topline growth during the last eight quarters indicating the impact of high base. Healthy growth across its businesses including consumer products in India, international business and Kaya Skin Solutions, contributed to overall growth.

Marico’s Earnings for the quarter, on a consolidated basis, grew 45.1% yoy to Rs40.8cr (Rs28.1cr) on reported basis largely aided by a one-time gain of Rs10.6cr on account of sale of Sil brand to Scandic Food India Pvt Limited. At the Operating front, Marico delivered a disappointing performance registering a 35bp contraction in OPM to 9.7% (10.1%) resulting in a muted 13.6% yoy growth in EBITDA to Rs45.6cr (Rs40.1cr).

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