Home Loans – Demand is Back

For the home loan market, volume seems to be the name of the game at present, with emphasis on expanding book rather than focussing on margins. The combination of lower property prices, attractive interest rates and aggressive promotions does seem to be working, and banks are seeing a progressive pickup in disbursals.

Axis Bank has entered with its own discounted rate scheme for new home loans, PNB and SBI have extended the time period for which their low rate scheme will be applicable.

Banks have been conservative with their lending. The target base remains the salaried customer with a regular source of income. Monthly installments are capped at 50–55% of net monthly salary. Demand for housing remains high, and the majority of borrowers are owner-users rather than pure investors. Hence, they prefer to pay the monthly instalments even in times of financial stress.

We do not see banks being in a hurry to raise home loan rates until they see definite signs of overall interest rates in the system hardening.

FII Investment in Indian Equity – Analytics Data

Over the past few weeks, we have been working on compiling data on FII interest in BSE 500 stocks as they are still the major reckoning force in our market.

After going through various sources, Annual Reports, Company Filings with BSE, etc we were able to mine the data on FII Holding in Indian Equities at the end of Sept-2009 and few other quarters as well. (more…)

L&T Power Generation Business – Insight

India’s leading construction company L&T which has tremendous know-how in building mega power plans and projects has jumped into the business of power generation. Its 100% subsidiary L&T Power Development Ltd (LPDL) has emerged as lowest bidder to develop and operate a 1,320MW thermal power project in state of Punjab.

The project is expected to be operational only in 2014. However, on a longer term basis, we believe that it is positive because: (more…)

India Earnings + Growth Revised Upwards, but Underweight – HSBC

>HSBC Equity Research which was one of the most conservative in Indian Earnings Growth Estimates has changed its stance and has upgraded the numbers, and it has gone ahead of the DalalStreet Consensus estimates 🙂

Economic data and Growth figures likely to surprise on the upside and lead to upgrades in EPS forecasts. Market expects policy tightening in view of a pick-up in growth and inflationary pressure and this will be not be a disaster for equities; however, evidence suggests (more…)

Sterlite loses Asarco – Focus on Balco + HZL

US district court judge ruled in favor of the $2.5bn bid by Grupo for Asarco. The court, in its decision, said that Grupo’s bid for the US miner was feasible and more likely to close than a sale to Sterlite. The decision is in line with the US bankruptcy court judge recommendation of Grupo’s bid over Sterlite. Grupo would have to close the deal in 30 days.

Sterlite management is unlikely to appeal against the judgment.

We believe the usage of cash in terms of investments in growth projects, minority buy-outs, and further acquisitions remains key going forward. The final arbitration hearing for BALCO is in early December and management expects the closure of BALCO and HZL buy-outs in the current fiscal.

UltraTech + Samruddhi Cement Merger – Swap Ratio – Analysis

UltraTech Cement and Samruddhi Cement, a wholly owned subsidiary of Grasim Industries, approved Samruddhi’s merger with UltraTech. Samruddhi shareholders will receive 4 shares of UltraTech at a face value of Rs 10 each for every 7 shares of face value Rs 5 each The deal will make UltraTech, the largest cement company in India and the 10th largest in the world.

Proposed merger earnings – The given share ratio is modestly earnings accretive for Ultratech. (more…)

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