Reliance Power IPO should be Probed by SEBI and Authorities

Anil Ambani who is in a hurry to takeover as the richest Indian from his brother, Mukesh has landed in trouble for violating SEBI guidelines in the Reliance Power IPO draft prospectus.

Reliance Power is promoted 50:50 by Reliance Energy and Anil Ambani and investment companies owned by him. Reliance Power has proposed to come out with an IPO of 130 crore shares of face value of Rs 2 at a premium to be fixed later. This includes 16 crore shares to the promoters at the offer price. The net offer to the public will be 10.5 per cent of the company’s expanded equity capital raising Rs 12,500 crore.

The Violation by Anil Ambani and AAA Company:
As per clause 4.1.1, the promoters shall contribute at least 20 per cent of the post issue capital in a public issue by an unlisted company. As per clause 4.6.2, the promoters have to contribute this 20 per cent at least at the IPO price if they have contributed this 20 per cent during one year preceding the public issue.

However, according to page 29 of the draft prospectus, it has been pointed out that Anil Ambani through AAA project ventures and REL got themselves allotted 105 crore shares each on September 30 reportedly through a bogus merger. Each of them plan to subscribe 8 crore shares each at the IPO price.

Clause 4.6.1 has been provided to check the abuse by promoters by allotting shares to themselves, for consideration other than cash by merger schemes; allotment of bonus shares out of revaluation reserves (ie out of reserves not earned in cash) and or in any other manner other than for cash (for example contributing an asset to the business at higher unfair value), within three years prior to public issue.

The only exception is when a merger scheme is sanctioned by a High Court. This clause has been provided to take care of genuine mergers and acquisitions which may have taken place before the public issues.

Reliance Public utility – Anil Ambani’s Shell Company Scam:
The group had an existing shell company called Reliance Public Utility Private Limited (RPUPL) which at that time had a paid up capital of Rs 1 lakh. The authorized capital of RPUPL was increased to Rs 1000 crores by a resolution dated July 30, 2007.

Anil Ambani’s personal investment company and Reliance Energy Ltd (controlled by Anil Ambani) invested Rs 500 crore each in the equity share capital of RPUPL on August 3, 2007. RPUPL is still a shell company with just Rs 1,000 crore of share capital and Rs 1,000 crore investment.

RPUPL and Reliance Power Limited passed necessary Board orders for merger of RPUPL into Reliance Power Limited. Rationale of the merger, as stated in the Scheme of Amalgamation is that,

RPUPL has put in considerable efforts in acquiring necessary technical and manpower skills which are ancillary to the business of Reliance Power Limited which can take benefits of this specialized skill sets and technology available with RPUPL to undertake mega power projects and implement them more efficiently and successfully.

From where the shell company having only one lakh paid up capital till July 31 this year acquired skill sets to implement mega power projects.

Anil Ambani is afraid to risk his own money and thus is passing on the risk of Ultra Mega Power projects to the Indian investor. Is there any agency in India to probe this scam ?

Source – Entire Reliance IPO Scam can be read here.

State Trading Corporation Bonus Issue

State Trading Corporation of India is a premier international trading house owned by the Government of India. The company trades with almost all the countries of the world. Government holds 91.02% stake in the company.

The board of directors will met to consider a Bonus Issue of the shares. At the current price of Rs 567.55, the scrip trades at a PE multiple of 24.50, based on Q1 June 2007 annualised EPS of Rs 23.08.

FirstSource to consider ADR/GDR Issue

FirstSource Solutions, India’s leading BPO has informed us that the board of directos will meet on the 23rd to discuss the proposal for $300 Million ADR / GDR issue of the company.

The financial results for the quarter ended 30 September 2007 shall now be considered by a committee of board of directors at its meeting to be held on 29 October 2007.

FirstSource is the leading bidder for Citigroups CAPTIVE BPO operations in India.

Reliance Energy Q2 Results

Reliance Energy’s net profit jumped 34.17% to Rs 250.08 crore on 13.65% rise in total Income to Rs 1799.92 crore in Q2 September 2007 over Q2 September 2006.

At the current price of Rs 1723.70, the scrip trades at a PE multiple of 44.45, based on Q1 June 2007 annualised EPS of Rs 38.77.

The scrip outperformed the market by a huge margin in one month to 16 October 2007, soaring 109.78% as against the Sensex’s 22.88% gain. It had also outperformed the market in the past three months, surging 176.50% against the Sensex’s 24.51% rise.

Reliance Energy is planning to come out with Reliance Power IPO to fund Ultramega Power projects in India.

Tata Consultancy Services – Review

TCS reported good 2QFY08 results – revenues grew 10.8% qoq to $1.42b (our exp: $1.38b) and EBITDA margins at 26.3% (exp: +26.1%) were up 80bp qoq. Net profit for Q2 was Rs12.15b (exp: Rs12b). Volumes in the international business were up 9% qoq.

TCS reported another quarter of pricing increase – realizations improved by ~85 bp qoq. Offshore proportion of revenues increased by ~190bp qoq. Pricing increase and higher offshore proportion resulted in margin expansion despite INR appreciation.

Management remains confident of strong deal flows and improved client mining over the next few quarters. Pricing trend continues to remain positive with 5-8% hikes in new deals and 3-5% hikes in renewals.

Kotak Research expects EPS growth of 22% YoY for FY08 at Rs.51.5. FY09 EPS has been
estimated at Rs.60. The rupee is assumed to be at Rs.38.50 per US dollar by FY09 end. BUY TCS with a price target of Rs.1297, implying a P/E of about 22x on FY09 estimates.

Citigroup Researach estimates a fully diluted EPS of Rs 51.55, 62.65 for FY08 and FY09 respectively. Target price of Rs1,460 is based on a P/E of 24x FY09E EPS, derived from a 4% discount to our target 25x FY09E EPS for Infosys.

Motilal Oswal revised EPS estimate of Rs51 and Rs61.8, the stock trades at a P/E of 21x FY08E and 17.4x FY09E respectively. Valuations at 17.4x FY09E earnings offers room for upside. Maintain Buy with a target price of Rs1,360.

CLSA expect underperformance to continue for some more time. Current 16-18% EPS Cagr for FY07-10 remains the key drag on the stock. CLSA has set a price target of Rs 1,135 for the stock.

DSP Merill Lynch says the stock is attractively valued and has a Price Objective of Rs1360 to Rs 1480 is at a rolling forward multiple of 20x 12 months earnings ended Sep 09 at a 10% discount to Infy’s median PE or an implied FY09e target multiple of 21x.

Monnet ISPAT AND Energy

Monnet Ispat and Energy’s (MIEL) Q2FY08 results were better than expectations due to greater-than-anticipated increase in ferro alloy sales volume and realisation. Sales volume of ferro alloys increased 70% Y-o-Y and 10% Q-o-Q. Net revenue, EBITDA, and net profit grew 92%, 45%, and 36% Y-o-Y, respectively, led by higher sales volume in sponge iron and ferro alloys and improved sales realizations across all products (sponge iron, steel, and ferro alloys).

Key disappointments were in terms of: (i) lower-than-expected sponge iron production, which at 118,081 MT was 14% below our expectation; and (ii) the second captive power plant not commencing in September 2007.

At CMP of INR 390, the stock is trading at an EV/EBITDA of 8.0x FY08E and 5.6x FY09E, and P/E of 9.5x FY08E [Rs 41 EPS] and 6.8x FY09E [Rs 57 EPS] on a fully diluted basis.