Suzlon Energy out of current

Suzlon Wind EnergyThe Edison Mission Group has withdrawn orders of 315 MW (second part of a two-phase 630 MW order) given to Suzlon Energy. This order withdrawal by Edison for 315 MW may affect near-term execution; Suzlon may however replace it by other orders in that geography.

Edison had the option of not purchasing the second part of the contract and it has exercised that option now. No explicit reasons are available for the exercise of the option by Edison. We believe Edison is a large customer of Suzlon (likely among the top 5 with Suzlon having executed (or executing) about 525 MW for this customer. This is significantly bad news for Suzlon Energy.

Top 5 AMCS – Asset management Companies

We decided to find out the top 5 Asset management Companies – AMCs based on two factors – Total Assets Under Management and Equity Assets Under Management as on May-31st, 2008. The latter is of more importance to our theme of investing.

Top 5 AMCs based on Total Assets under management:

  • Reliance Mutual Fund Rs 98,431 cr
  • ICICI Prudential Mutual Fund Rs 59,094 cr
  • HDFC Mutual Fund Rs 56,107 cr
  • UTI Mutual Fund Rs 54,652 cr
  • Birla Sun Life Mutual Fund Rs 41,442 cr

Top 5 AMCs based on Total Equity Assets under management:

  • Reliance Mutual Fund Rs 24,478 cr
  • UTI Mutual Fund Rs 19,188 cr
  • HDFC Mutual Fund Rs 16,881 cr
  • SBI Mutual Fund Rs 14,661 cr
  • Franklin Templeton Mutual Fund Rs 13,727 cr

These figures does not mean that you should only invest in funds offered by these AMCs. Review of extended coverage of AMCs beyond HDFC will be posted here by the end of this month.

Voltamp Transformer – Electrifying Results

Voltamp’s net sales increased by 10.4% Y-o-Y to Rs.1351.4 mn in Q4FY08, largely on the back of better price realisations. EBIDTA increased to Rs.334.3 mn in Q4FY08, at 46.1% Y-o-Y growth. EBIDTA margins improved by around 606 bps YoY to 24.7%, mainly due to better price realizations, which led to substantial decrease in raw material cost as a percentage of sales (from 81.3% in Q4FY07 to 75.3% in Q4FY08).

Voltamp’s PAT during Q4FY08 increased to Rs.216.3 mn in Q4FY08. For the full year FY08, the company showed a growth in net sales of 36.9% to Rs. 5553.5 mn. Its EBITDA increased 92.1% from Rs.613.5 mn to Rs.1178.6 mn while it’s adjusted PAT increased from Rs.393.6 mn to Rs.799.0 mn, showing a growth of 103%. The EPS for the full year stood at Rs.79 as against Rs.38.9 last year, registering a growth of around 102.9% Y-o-Y.

Voltamp Transformer’s order backlog as of 8th May 2008 stood at around Rs.4485.1 mn

India Investment Strategy

India Investment StrategyGlobal factors combined with internal developments within India are a dent to investment in India in the near term. Apart from Fiscal Deficit and Inflation some other issues are likely to affect the financial market performance in the next few quarters.

After talking to few Analysts, most of them were of the opinion to wait and watch. An excerpt from the interaction is as follows.

RBI May Step In: Inflation above 9%, regardless of cause, could make the RBI raise the reserve rate by 50-100 bp in 2H08. Hike in Interest Rates is not ruled out if the official Inflation figure rises above 10%.

Subsidized Oil and Bonds: The government is likely to issue about Rs1 trillion worth of additional fiscal and oil bonds in FY09 versus FY08. Banks will have to absorb most of these bonds to liquefy their holders who need cash. (more…)