Bosch Ltd – Affected by Auto Slowdown

The slump in automobile sales in Q408 adversely affected Bosch’s performance and accordingly sales declined by 15% y-o-y to INR10.4bn. A higher contribution from the non-automotive business affected EBITDA margins which declined sequentially by 200bps to 16.8%.PAT declined by 24% y-o-y to INR942mn.

Penetration of diesel cars in India (~20% in India vs. ~53% in Western Europe) is set to increase as OEMs plan to launch CRDi-powered diesel cars. Also, diesel is ~40% cheaper than petrol in India. Already we have seen that diesel powered cars are (more…)

External Commercial Borrowings making a come back

Latest data indicate that ECBs have been holding up reasonably well. Flows in Jan 09 were up US$1.3bn, only marginally lower than the US$1.9bn seen in Jan 08. On a cumulative basis, however, ECB flows have slowed, to US$15.6bn in Apr-Jan FY09 from US$20.1bn in the same period last year.

However, the key is the sustainability of flows. This would depend on whether the current inflows are due to (i) recent policy changes or (ii) prior commitments. Inflows in Jan were largely due to borrowings by Vodafone Essar and Air India.

While companies are still accessing ECBs, borrowing via the foreign currency convertible bonds (FCCBs) route which had dwindled in the first few months has now ceased. In fact, with the bulk of the FCCBs turning out of the money (i.e., stock prices are trading at a discount to the conversion prices), the RBI introduced measures last year allowing companies to buy back FCCBs from rupee resources or by raising ECBs. However, due to limited funding, companies have found it difficult to buy back FCCBs.

Sterlite – Asarco Deal – Analysis and Ratings

Sterlite announced that it has signed a revised agreement to acquire the operating assets of Asarco for US$1.7bn in cash, with US$1.1bn payable on conclusion of the transaction which the company expects in the next 4-5 months, and the balance US$600mn payable in installments over nine years. Sterlite had net cash of only Rs 44 bn (US$900 mn) at the standalone level at 3Q09 end.

The assets include three open-pit copper mines, a copper smelter and down stream units. In 2008, Asarco sold 237kt of refined copper and reported revenue of US$1.9 bn, and PBT of US$393mn. (more…)

KEC International touches upper circuit with three new orders

KEC International, a global leader in power transmission EPC business, has bagged two orders worth Rs 340 crore from Power Grid Corporation of India (PGCIL) and one order worth Rs 25 crore from Central Organization for Railway Electrification (CORE), Allahabad.

The first order worth Rs 185 crore from PGCIL is for the supply & construction of 400 kV D/C (Twin) Kameng Balipara & 400 kV d/C (Quad) Balipara – Bongaigaon Line (Part-I) associated with North East – Northern / Western Interconnector-I, while the second order is for the supply & construction of 400 kV D/C Gandhar – Navasari Line, LILO of 220 kV D/C Kawas – Navasari & 400 kV D/c Navasari-Navi Mumbai Line (Part-I) associated with ATS Mundra Regional System for WR.

The company has bagged its third order worth Rs 25 crore from CORE, Allahabad for design, supply, erection, testing & commissioning of 25 kV A.C. Single Phase, 50 Hz. traction overhead equipments, switching stations, booster transformer stations and LT. supply transformer stations including foundations, structures and all ancillary equipments for Pathankot (Excl.) -Jammutawi (Incl.) station of Ferozepur Division of Northern Railway under RE Project, Ambala.

Bharat Forge – Obstacles Remain

Adverse macro environment affects domestic and international operations – Parent revenues affected by slowdown in CV sales (~40-45% of parent revenues). We expect muted recovery, spurred by pre-buying in 3/4Q FY10. Overall revenues and profit estimates at the parent level benefit from a weaker rupee and incremental non auto exports. In the subsidiaries, we now forecast losses at the EBITDA level over FY10 – given the expected c40% slump in European truck sales.

Non Auto Business: There is no visibility of revenues in the non-auto business. (more…)

Jai Corp Scam – II Anand Jains Office + Residence – Raided

The Indian Income Tax Authorities have simultaneously raided the offices of Jai Corp Ltd and its Chairman – Anand Jain’s residence as well. Various press reports indicate that the raid was conducted due to Large amounts of Land Dealings which are shady [Ofcourse Real Estate in India is nothing but a parallel black money economy] (more…)