Author Topic: NIFTY Would be at 10519 at Peak Valuation  (Read 10112 times)

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NIFTY Would be at 10519 at Peak Valuation
« on: August 19, 2014, 12:51:27 PM »
Where will NIFTY be if it were to Quote at Peak Valuation ?
We have done a Research on the NIFTY Stocks and their Peak Valuations in the Past based on P/E or P/BV or EV/EBITDA. Applying the Previous Historical PEAK multiple for all the NIFTY Stocks, the Peak Valuation for NIFTY if it were to reach today will be 10,519

Look a at the Table Below,
Scrip
ACC
AMBUJA
AsianPaints
AXSB
BJAUT
BOB
BHEL
BPCL
BHARTI
CAIR
CIPLA
COAL
DLFU
DRReddy
GAIL
GRASIM
HCLT
HDFCB
HERMOTOCORP
HINDALCO
HUVR
HDFC
ICICIBC
IDFC
INDUSIND
INFY
ITC
JIndalSteel
KotakBank
LT
LUPIN
MM
MARUTI
NMDC
NTPC
ONGC
PWGR
PNB
RIL
SSLT
SBIN
SUNP
TCS
TTMT
TPWR
TATASteel
TECHM
UTCEM
UnitedSpirits
WPRO
Basis
EV/EBITDA
EV/EBITDA
P/E
P/BV
P/E
P/BV
P/E
P/BV
EV/EBITDA
P/E
P/E
EV/EBITDA

P/E
P/BV
EV/EBITDA
P/E
P/BV
P/E
EV/EBITDA
P/E
P/BV
P/BV
P/BV
P/BV
P/E
P/E
EV/EBITDA
P/BV
P/E
P/E

P/E
EV/EBITDA
P/BV
P/E
P/BV
P/BV
P/E
EV/EBITDA
P/BV
P/E
P/E

P/BV
EV/EBITDA
P/E
EV/EBITDA
P/E
P/E
Peak Multiple
12.2
14
32.1
3.8
19
2
36
2
15.7
6.2
24
9.4

25.9
2.1
6.6
14.7
4.5
18.8
8.6
29.5
6
3.2
4.8
3.4
19.6
25.2
12.2
6
40
24

23
6.2
2.6
13.5
2.2
1.9
25
298
2.8
28
19.1

2.5
7
13.4
13.5
58.9
16.5
Peak Price
1,417
231
509
3,799
2,479
1,739
456
574
1,000
354
494
393

3,486
501
3,328
1,412
1,030
2,830
200
593
1,191
2,333
550
692
4,275
333
640
1,733
2,450
1,165

2,813
181
314
541
161
2,121
2,120

5,290
819
2,176

125
875
1,901
2,554
2,841
603

This is just one of the ways to base your investment decision on. But the sure shot way is for the INDEX as a whole if it Peaks or reaches 10500 today, then the Advise is SELL. However, if it reaches 1 year from now, the VALUATION would not be at peak because earnings would have increased and the INDEX would still be quoting below its potential peak valuation then.