United Phosphorous – Q2 Negative Surprise

United Phosphorus reported PAT of Rs1.02bn, 35% below Bloomberg consensus estimates, primarily due to 12%/2% declines in revenue in the US and Europe on account of adverse weather conditions. EBITDA margins declined by 200bps, reflecting inability to retain savings from a decline in raw material prices. However, continued to derive revenue growth of 12% from the rest of the world (constitutes about 25% of total sales). Management guided for revenue growth of 10% and EBITDA margins of 19% for FY10E.

The crop protection demand environment (particularly in the US and Europe) should continue to remain uncertain in the near term, (more…)

IndiaBulls Power – Basis Allotment + Listing

We have been given the Basis of Allotment of the Highly Hyped IndiaBulls Power IPO – Power Hai Tou Zindagi Hey 🙂

As the Retail portion of the issue was subscribed by mere 1.09 times with recommendation from us and other leading brokerages to AVOID, as expected all retail Investors have been allotted in FULL.

Here is the CHART Showing the BASIS of ALLOTMENT of India Bulls Power. (more…)

Punj Lloyd – Cost Overrun – Q2 Review

Punj LLoyd reported Rs529mn PAT below estimates of Rs1.4bn on account of Rs1.0bn of losses in Simon Carves on cost overruns and project disputes on the Ensus bio-ethanol project in the UK. Sales growth was below expectations as despite Rs98bn of orders in Libya the company could not book any sales as the threshold of revenue recognition could not be reached. The company ended 2QFY10 with an order backlog of Rs268bn, up 24% YoY (Rs114bn inflows in 1HFY10).

SABIC project disputes cost Rs4.3bn in FY09. In August 09 ~1,000 workers stopped work over payment disputes between Simon Carves and sub-contractors. Post a small delay work (more…)

Union Bank PAT rises 40% in September quarter

Union Bank of India (UBI) has announced its unaudited results for the quarter ended September 30, 2009.

The company reported a net profit of Rs 505.10 crore for the quarter under consideration against Rs 361.46 crore in the year ago period, a growth of 39.74%.

Total income of the bank has increased by 20.75% to Rs 3760.90 crore over Rs 3114.53 crore on a Year-on-Year (YoY) basis.

Citing lack of trained staff, Union Bank of India, which had charted major branch expansion plans, said it will go slow on the expansion.

ITC – Smokes Ahead in Profits

ITC reported a robust 26% YOY PAT growth at Rs10bn, above our Rs9.4bn estimate. EBITDA margins expanded >6% YOY to 35.8%, driven by steady cigarette business profitability, lower losses in non cigarette FMCG and benefits of mix improvement in the agricultural commodities business.

Personal care revenues are forecast at ~Rs3-3.2bn for FY10E, based on the current run rate. For soaps, current market share is 3-3.5% – impressive, given the recent (more…)

Sep-09 Quarter Earnings Season

Aggregate earnings [SENSEX Companies Rssults Declared So Far] are up 13% YoY, a tad ahead of our analyst expectations of 12%. In terms of surprise breadth, three of these eight companies reported net profit that exceeded expectations by 5% or more, while two trailed our expectations by 5% or less. Four companies in the BSE Sensex have reported 20% growth in earnings. It is still early days to analyze the earnings at the sector level.

Broader Market Earnings Lead the Narrow Market – 212 companies have reported. Aggregate earnings for the broad market are up 24%. The sharp recovery in margins, up 5.8ppt YoY, is the key driver for the strong earnings growth. However, revenues for the sample are up 4% YoY.