Domsetic Mutual Funds + Insurance Ownership – Equities

We have already written on how FIIs have increased their exposure to Indian Equities. Mutual Funds and Insurance companies are OW on Staples and Utilities, UW on Energy and IT Services. MFs and Insurance have meaningful opposite view and positioning on Financials, Industrials, Materials and Healthcare.

MF Ownership – Mar-10 quarter did not witness any big shifts in the sector weights. Largest overweight position of Mutual funds were maintained in Industrials (+869bps) and Staples (+286bps). On the other hand, the biggest sector under weights were Financials (-449bps), Energy (-366bps), Materials (- 327bps) and (more…)

FII Ownership Rises in Indian Equitiess – Sensex & BSE 500

FII Ownership in Indian Equities has been rising and has touched 22.2% in SENSEX and 16.9% in BSE 500 [Overall Market] FII ownership has seen the most significant move up since the Mar-09 low of 14.8% [BSE 500]. They hold 18.9% of BSE100 and 17.7% of BSE200.

FII Portfolio Reshuffle in March Quarter FIIs have had an outsized overweight on Indian Financials (800-1000bps) since early 2009. Mar-10 quarter was the first time that we saw a significant decline of 382bps and the overweight is now at more (more…)

IRB Infra Developers – Strong Outlook

IRB reported Q4 revenues of Rs5bn (+56% y/y, +16% q/q, UBS est Rs5.8bn), EBITDA of Rs2.3bn (+92% y/y, +2% q/q, UBS est of Rs2.3bn) and PAT of Rs1.4bn (+236% y/y, +55% q/q, UBS est Rs1.1bn). Lower-than-expected toll revenues were compensated by higher construction margins. Higher reported PAT is due to accounting for MAT credit (Q4 tax is a positive Rs393m; PBT is Rs1.1bn; this credit will be (more…)

Potential for Healthcare – Stocks ahead of fundamentals

Indian hospital stocks have outperformed the market in the past six months (up 60% vs. 17% for Sensex) on the back of newsflow on acquisitions and a better-than-expected earnings profile for the sector. The long-term growth story still looks attractive, with demand outstripping supply however, in the near term valuations have overtaken fundamentals. Lets look into Apollo Hospitals and Fortis Helathcare stocks for Long Term Investment.

Apollo Hospitals:
Apart from the current 2,120 beds being added, Apollo has no immediate plans for fresh projects. We believe that with most of its (more…)

Shriram Transport Finance – Review

Shriram Transport Finance (SHFT) reported earnings were 13% above our estimates (net profit of Rs2.64bn in 4QFY10, 72% yoy growth), both in terms of quality and quantity. NII growth came in at 45% yoy, driven by expansion in NIMs (on average AUM) by 100bp yoy and 46bp qoq, and AUM growth of 25% yoy.

SHFT is attempting to move towards a business model, whereby they leverage their niche franchise to grow faster by securitizing (more…)

JSW Steel -Good Results – Buy or Sell ?

JSW reported consolidated net income of Rs6,110mn (+42% qoq) vs. a net loss of Rs399mn in 4QFY09. Net profit was 7% above our expectation and 10% above Reuters consensus, even after adjusting for a one-off forex gain of Rs964mn. For FY2010E, JSW reported net income of Rs15.9 bn (+481% yoy)

EBITDA/t was up 11% QoQ to US$185/t, 4% ahead of our est.. Realizations were up 4% QoQ, marginally below our est. Input (more…)

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