BSE SENSEX – Historical Performance since 1979

We’d like to share with you the Historical Performance of BSE Sensex since its inception in 1979 till March-2006. All the Values for the SENSEX in the Chart below are as on March-31st for respective year.

How to Interpret the Data Table ?
1- Year Indicates – Return of SENSEX between April-1st to Next Macrh-31st.
3 – Year Indicates – Return on SENSEX for the immediate previous 3 years.
Similarly for 5 Years, 7 Years, 10 Years, 15 Years and 20 Years.

BSE SENSEX Historical Returns from 1979 till 2006 YoY Basis – CAGR Method.
Sensex-1979-2006

To illustrate with an example, the 20 Year Return on SENSEX Indicates a Point to Point Return between April-1st-1986 till March-31st-2006 which is a 16.06%.

Parsvnath Developers and Lanco Infratech IPO Subscription – Final

The week that went by was a fantastic week with BSE Sensex closing at an all time high of 13,282 and record money flowing into the Indian IPOs by Retail Individual Investors.

Retail Indian Investors poured in Rs 3,300 crores cash into Parsvnath Developers Ltd IPO. This is after they had already put some Rs 300 crores in Info Edge India Ltd IPO. Retail Indian Investor also invested Rs 600 crores into the Lanco Infratech Limited IPO.

I’ll keep you informed when the allotment details will be made available online. Happy Investing until then.

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Lanco Infratech Ltd IPO Subscription Details – Final

Lanco Infratech Limited overall subscription: 11.36 times
QIBs inclusing FIIs – 18.4834 times
Non Institutional- 1.6754 times
Retail Individual Investors – 2.4758 times
Employee-1.0532 times (99% of the bids are priced bids)

This means if you are a Retail Investor with an application for more than 75 shares, you will get firm allotment.

I’ll keep you informed about allotment details. It will be made available on In-Time Spectrum.

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Parsvnath Developers IPO Subscription Details – Final

The IPO of Real estate major, Parsvnath Developers was heavily oversubscribed. The total subscription stood at around 64 times. Here is the break-up

Qualified Institutional Buyers (QIBs) 81.4532 Subscription (Heavy Demand from FIIs).
Non Institutional Investors 100.4308 Subscription
Retail Individual Investors (RIIs) 10.9353
Employee 2.6669 Subscription

This means all retail applications for 220 shares or more will get a firm allotment.

This is according to data obtained from BSE Terminal at Midnight 00:00 hours exclusively by DalalStreet.Biz analysts.

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Parsvnath Developers and Lanco Infra IPO Review and Analysis

Parsvnath Developers Ltd issue which has already been subscribed 6 times overall and 0.6 times in retail category is a invest for short and long term Indian investor. Studying the Investment Pattern of Retail Indian Investors and the grey market premium in Jaipur at Rs4,500 per application of Rs96,000 tells that the issue is likely to perform good.

R S Iyer , S P Tulsian and Manish Bhatt have all asked to apply. If it lists at say Rs 400 then its P/E will be at 50 for FY 07 earnings, do we really care about P/E in a Bull Market ?


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IPO Investment Pattern by Retail Indian Investors – Review and Analysis

I decided to explore the investment pattern of Retail Indian Investors in various IPOs in 2006. Based on this pattern, and various other factors, you can predict how retail investors are likely to invest in an IPO.

Below you will find, Name of Company, Retail Investors collection in the IPO, Issue Price / Current Market Price.

Reliance Petroleum Ltd – Rs12,100 crores , Rs 60 / Rs65
Sun TV Ltd – Rs 540 crores, Rs 875 / Rs1270
Tech Mahindra – Rs 1120 crores, Rs 365 / Rs995
Voltamp Transformers Ltd – Rs 327 crores, Rs 345 / Rs 511
Action Construction Equipment – Rs 578 crores, Rs 135 / Rs 251
GVK Ltd – Rs1048 crores, Rs 310 / Rs 248
Unity Infrastructure – Rs 140 crores, Rs 675 / Rs 555
GMR Infrastructure – Rs 144 crores, Rs 210 , Rs351

You can see that Reliance is still the most sought after company and everybody from Grandfathers to kids must have applied in that IPO. SunTV and Tech Mahindra equally good brand names also saw terrific subscription and demand.

Retail investor who has burnt his fingers in GVK and Unity infrastructure issue is unlikely to subscribe in Lanco Infra and may subscribe in Parsvnath.

Info Edge India has sucked Rs360 crores from retail investors already. Based on various other factors I expect the Parsvnath Developers Ltd issue to subscribe 3 times (collection of Rs 1,000 crores) in the Retail category. And in the best case it may subscribe over 5 times (collection of Rs 1,500 crores) in the retail category.

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