Info Edge India – Basis of allotment

The basis of allotment for Info Edge India IPO Limited is as mentioned below. This is for Retail Individual Investors.

Info Edge (India)

Oversubscription Figures:

HNI : 61.46106 times

RETAIL : 11.10637 times

Basis of allocation under Retail:

No of Shares Applied

No. of Shares Allotted

Ratio

20

20

9:100

40

20

9:50

60

20

27:100

80

20

9:25

100

20

9:20

120

20

27:50

140

20

63:100

160

20

18:25

180

20

81:100

200

20

9:10

220

20

FIRM

240

22

FIRM

260

24

FIRM

280

25

FIRM

300

27

FIRM

You can check if you are allotted or not on Intime Spectrum registry here.

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CLSA bullish on ONGC – BUY Target of Rs930

CLSA’s Research report on Oil & Natural Gas Corporation Limited.

With the crude oil prices coming off by USD 20 per barrel, ONGC has underperformed the broader market by c.10ppt over the last three months. ONGC is a beneficiary of a softening crude price environment, however, as industry under-recoveries (which ONGC shares) will come off faster. After a flat USD 23-24/bbl net realisation over FY05-07CL, we see unit realisations increasing in FY08CL even after we build in an adverse change in the subsidy sharing. In addition, ONGC’s 2-year 5.6% volume growth cagr will support a 14% earnings cagr over FY06-08CL. BUY. “

ONGC has only marginally gained from rising crude in FY05-07CL

“Crude prices have risen by 50% over FY05-07CL with a leveraged impact on most E&P bottomlines. The subsidy burden on ONGC, however, has kept its gross realisations in the USD 43-45/bbl range over the last six quarters. In fact, adjusted for the fixed and variable production taxes, net crude realisations have stayed at USD 23-24/bbl over FY05-07CL. While higher crude prices have helped profitability in overseas assets (Sudan-GNOP) and for its VAP portfolio, ONGC’s 11% EPS cagr over the last two years has rested primarily on volume growth and the legacy gas price increase in FY06.”

It stands to benefit from a falling crude price environment

“Falling crude prices, however, may lead to an uptick in ONGC’s realisations. With auto fuels priced at USD 60/bbl, under-recoveries will disappear at this threshold and overall retail under-recoveries will come off by USD 7 billion YoY to USD 5.5 billion in FY08CL. Even after building in an increase in upstream subsidy sharing (from 33% to 50%) and an even larger burden for ONGC (from 87% to 95% of upstream share), we find that net ONGC realisations could actually improve USD 1.8 per barrel YoY even as Brent averages USD 7 per barrel lower from FY07 levels. A status quo on subsidy sharing norms will increase realisations by a further USD 5 per barrel creating room for a 15% earnings upgrade.”

“ONGC has underperformed the market by 10ppt in the last three months on the back of poor investor sentiment towards E&Ps as crude prices collapsed by USD 20/bbl. This will start to change over the next few quarters as ONGC delivers steady growth even in a falling crude prices environment on the back of higher overseas volumes and a rebound in domestic production. With most other E&Ps at risk of earnings downgrades (consensus crude estimates are USD 5-6 per barrel above current prices), the differentiation should become stark.”

ONGC is a value play. ONGC will stand out with steady earnings growth.

“At 9x PE and 4% dividend yield ONGC is one of the cheapest stocks in India and at USD 5/boe, one of the cheapest in the global upstream space. Our upgraded target price of Rs 930 per share indicates a 7% upside. BUY.”

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Blue Bird (India) Limited IPO – Review – 1

Blue Bird (India) Limited, a leading manufacturer of paper-based notebook and stationery products with the highest market share of 48% amongst large, organised players in India, is entering the capital market with a public issue.

Issue Size: No of 8,775,000 equity shares of Rs. 10 each at a premium to be decided through the 100% book-building process. The price band for the issue has been fixed at Rs. 90 to Rs. 105.

Date: Issue opens for subscription/bids on November 16, 2006 and closes on November 22, 2006.

Out of the net offer to the public, 50% is reserved for allotment to Qualified Institutional Buyers, of which 5% is reserved for allotment to Mutual Funds. Further, 15% is reserved for allotment on a proportionate basis to Non-Institutional Buyers and the balance 35% will be allotted to Retail Individual Bidders on a proportionate basis. The issue constitutes 25.07% of the fully-diluted post-issue capital of the company.

The company has privately placed 1,225,000 equity shares at a price of Rs. 98 per share with India China Pre-IPO Equity (Mauritius) Limited, a SEBI-registered Foreign Venture Capital Investor which has appointed ST Asset Management Limited, wholly owned by Temasek Holdings (Private) Limited, as its investment manager.

The company is raising capital through this public issue to finance the construction of its second major notebook manufacturing and printing unit in South India; to expand capacity at its existing plant in Pune and purchase the registered and corporate office premises presently on leave and licence; to expand its network of sales and distribution offices throughout India; to augment its long-term working capital requirements; and to repay some existing long-term debts.

Blue Bird (India) Limited, under its “Blue Bird” brand of paper-based notebooks, has built a strong presence in western and southern India. According to a survey carried out by AC Nielsen ORG-MARG, approximately 80% of the Indian notebook and stationery market is controlled by unorganized, local players. Of the 20% of the market catered to by the organised segment, 15% is controlled by large, national players and the balance 5% by medium-sized, regional players. AC Nielsen ORG-MARG has estimated that Blue Bird enjoys the highest market share of 48% of the total market share controlled by large, organised players.

In addition to notebooks, the company also manufactures products like files, perforated pads, registers and filler papers as part of its stationery business. Moreover, the company publishes study aids/educational materials and children’s books with in-house developed content and is also engaged in commercial printing of third-party content including textbooks, magazines, catalogues, calendars and annual reports.

During fiscal 2005, Blue Bird began export of notebooks and printed materials to Kenya, Ghana and South Africa. The company plans to expand both its market presence within India and in sub-Saharan Africa, with increased marketing efforts and penetration in the export market.

Financials: Blue Bird had total income of Rs. 401.70 crores and net profit of Rs. 25.12 crores in fiscal 2006. The company has posted improved performance during the first-half of the current year. For the period ending September 30, 2006, the company reported a total income of Rs. 237.55 crores, 18.34% higher compared to the previous year’s first-half total income of Rs. 200.75 crores. During the same period, net profit for the first half of fiscal 2007 at Rs. 15.10 crores was 19.65% higher compared to the previous year’s first-half net profit of 12.62 crores.

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