SELL Mastek – Merill Lynch

Merill Lynch has downgraded India’s IT Service Provider – Mastek to a SELL. Order intake push-out for two quarters and growing attrition, suggests competitive headwind. Post a 19% EBIT level miss this quarter Merill cut estimates by 8% and 4% for FY08 & FY09. Though at 9x FY08E PE, Merill sees more potential downside given subdued FY07-09 EPS CAGR forecast of 12%.

Merill Lynch’s top picks in Small Cap IT are Rolta and Firstsource. Target Price for Rolta is Rs540 is set at 14x FY09e PE at 7% discount to target multiple for Infotech Enterprises. For Firstsource, Target Price of Rs105 is at 22x FY09E PE at a PEG of 0.9 and current FY08 PE of 25x.

Central Bank Issue Subscribed 62.07 times

The IPO of Central Bank of India was subscribed 62.07 times. Retail participation was also extremely good. Here is the final Tally.

Sr.No. Category No.of shares offered/reserved No. of shares bid for No. of times of total meant for the category
Qualified Institutional Buyers (QIBs) 45600000 4063677240 89.1157

Non Institutional Investors 7600000 528778260 69.5761
Retail Individual Investors (RIIs) 22800000 369421620 16.2027

All retail application of 960 shares @ cut off are likely to get 60 shares, but may go in for a lottery too. Check back for the status of allotment here.

The allotment status of Everonn Allotment status can be checked here.

Punj Lloyd bags Big Order from Reliance

Punj Lloyd has been awarded a contract by Reliance Gas Transportation & Infrastructure (RGTIL) for its east-west pipeline project for laying of pipeline & associated facilities.

The value of the contract is Rs 498 crore, which is inclusive of the Rs 180.16-crore placed earlier by RGTIL with the company. The work is scheduled to be completed by December 2007 end.

Crompton Greaves + Tata Power + Suzlon Energy

Crompton Greaves’ net profit rose 89.1% to Rs 68.76 crore in Q1 June 2007 over Q1 June 2006. Sales moved up 21% to Rs 896.07 crore in Q1 June 2007 over Q1 June 2006. Crompton Greaves’ principal activities are broadly classified into four strategic business units: power systems; consumer products; industrial systems and other.

Tata Power Company’s net profit moved up 56.09% to Rs 190.20 crore in Q1 June 2007 over Q1 June 2006. Sales rose 9.80% to Rs 1511.48 crore in Q1 June 2007 over Q1 June 2006.

Suzlon Energy’s net profit declined 53.8% to Rs 89.4 crore in Q1 June 2007 over Q1 June 2006. Total income dipped 8.85% to Rs 862.9 crore in Q1 June 2007 over Q1 June 2006.

As on date, the company said it has orders worth Rs 13,496.83 crore comprising Rs 1,711.21 crore domestic orders and Rs 11,785.62-crore export orders.

Buy ITC – Solid Results – JP Morgan and Citi

JP Morgan and Citigroup have upgraded ITC to a BUY previously from hold with a price target of Rs 195.

After 40% underperformance over the last 12 months, risk-reward looks favorable. Investors are focusing too much on cigarette volumes; we estimate that even if volumes were to decline by 5%, cigarette EBIT would increase 8% in FY08. ITC’s price hikes are heavily loaded in favor of its mid segment brands (~65% of volumes)

Target price increase to Rs195 from Rs130 reflects 1) rolling forward target P/E from FY08E to FY09E, given that we are approaching mid FY08E and expect valuations to start reflecting FY09E; 2) increase target multiple from 15x to 20x, toward the higher end of historical trading bands.

ITC Q1 Profit stands at Rs 783 crore up from Rs 652 crore a year ago [Up 20.2%]. Sales up from Rs 2850 crore to Rs 3325 crore.

Bears Hug Dalal Street

With weak international markets [US Housing Data was the dampener], Dalal Street Bears are in action. Within the first 5 minutes of Trading the BSE Sensex was down 350 points.

HDFC Bank, BHEL, Tata Motors, SBI and Reliance Energy are the top losers in the SENSEX. All the SENSES stocks are hammered and positions unwound. Accordint to Hitesh Chotalia’s analysis all the support levels for the day are broken and the SENSEX is currently at 15,450.

All the Indian Indices are in RED. A Blood Bath on the opening day of August Futures.

Nifty is down 110 Points
Nifty Jr is down 180 Points
Nifty Bank is down 170 Points
Midcap CNX is down 140 Points
IT CNX is down 101 Points

We wonder what will be the fate of IPOs like IVR Prime where extremely wise men invested because they couldn’t read the P/E and other financials of the company 🙂

Update at 12:00 Noon:
BSE SENSEX is down 500 Points. All the sensex stocks are in Red except ITC and Ranbaxy Labs. We recommended a BUY on ITC this morning. Is this is temporary correction ? Well depends on the US Data. If its just a temporary slump, its ok as Dow had also hit an all time high. However if you can see cracks appearing in the US Data, then money will flow out of Stocks. I am sure Wall Street Analysts are burning the midnight oil to analyze their course of action for Firday.

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