Buy Reliance communications – IDBI Capital

IDBI Capital has initiated coverage on Reliance Communications with a Target Price of Rs 669.

The domestic telecom market grew by 58% YoY in FY07 itself, where-in 66.51m subscribers were added, taking the total subscriber base to 225.21m. RCOM, which has 17.2% market-share currently, is targeting a 21% market-share by FY09. Acquisition of Yipes Communications for Global Expansion.

Controversial hiving off of its tower subsidiary into a separate division in April 2007. Recently it sold a 5% stake in its tower subsidiary at US$ 337.5m to a consortium of 7 investors. This puts valuation of the subsidiary at Rs.270,000m. RCOM also plans to list its global subsidiary FLAG in a couple of quarters. FLAG is the largest private
submarine cable system in the world.

Sum Of the Parts Valuation [SOTP]
RCOM’s core business on DCF basis and the tower business on EV/subscriber basis. DCF valuation gives the core business value at Rs.534/share. Adding to this the value of tower business at Rs.135/share, we arrive at a fair value of Rs.669/share, upside of 35% from the current price of Rs.495. At the CMP Rs.495, the stock is trading at a PE multiple of 20.4x on FY08E EPS of Rs.24.3 and 15.8x of FY09E EPS of Rs.31.4/share.

Kindly note that Citigroup analysts valued the tower business at a price much below the Rs 135 / share which IDBI is valuing it at.

Blackstone to invest in Nagarjuna Constructions

The board of Nagarjuna Construction Company has accorded its in-principle approval for issue of 20,246,900 equity shares of Rs 2 each at a premium of Rs 200.50 and 9,111,111 warrants of Rs 225 per warrant each warrant convertible into one equity share of Rs 2 each at a premium of Rs 223 together aggregating to around Rs 615 crore to Blackstone GPV Capital Partners Mauritius V-A , Blackstone GPV Capital Partners (Mauritius) V-H and Blackstone FP Capital Partners (Mauritius) V FII, belonging to the blackstone group of USA.

The amounts being raised by the company out of the aforesaid preferential offer are proposed to be used for the purpose of investing in the BOT projects and other infrastructure projects being developed by the company as well as through its subsidiaries and associates, for meeting the working capital and other long term funding needs of the company.

An extraordinary general meeting of the members of the company is being convened on 24 September 2007 for obtaining the approval of the members of the company in respect of aforesaid issue of shares and warrants on preferential basis.

Exide Industries Rights Issue + Modern Dairies Bonus

The board of Exide Industries has approved the issue and allotment of up to or as near thereto as possible 5,00,00,000 equity shares of Re 1 each for cash at a premium of Rs 29 per equity share on rights basis in the ratio of 1 equity share for every 15 equity shares held by shareholders.

The board at the same meeting has appointed SBI Capital Markets as the lead manager to the proposed rights issue by the company.

Modern Dairies announced that it has fixed 1 October 2007 as record date for issuing bonus shares, in the ratio of 1:1 (1 bonus share for every 1 equity share held).

Net profit of Modern Dairies rose 11150% to Rs 2.25 crore on 243.88% rise in sales to Rs 74.69 crore in Q1 June 2007 over Q1 June 2006. Delhi-based Modern Dairies produces dairy products like packed liquid milk, skimmed milk powder, whole milk powder, infant milk food, pure ghee and butter.

RBI Unhappy over iCICI bank Holding Company Structure

Earlier this month, ICICI Bank has received the Foreign Investment Promotion Board (FIPB)’s approval to transfer its holdings in its insurance and asset management subsidiaries to an intermediate holding company, subject to the approval of RBI.

The RBI, however, before considering the application, has issued a discussion paper raising certain issues. According to RBI creation of an intermediary financial holding company may lead to a problem of regulation. The intermediary holding company, being a non-banking finance company, is not fully regulated by RBI. Therefore, RBI said, a proper legal framework needs to be created before such structures are floated to ensure that no unregulated entities are present within the structure.

RBI has, instead, suggested a bank holding company (BHC) or a financial holding company model in which bank and non-bank subsidiaries in a banking group will be owned by the holding firm.

Buy Maruti Udyog Ltd – Motilal Oswal

Motilal Oswal has reiterated BUY recommendation on Maruti Udyog Ltd with a price target of Rs 1,188. Passenger vehicle (PV) segment maintained its healthy growth in 1QFY08. This indicates the imperviousness of the PV industry to temporary negative factors like higher interest rates and tightness in bank financing. The structural factors sustaining the robust growth in PVs are still in place and we expect volumes to grow at 16.5% CAGR over FY07-10. As the leading player in the industry, Maruti would be a key beneficiary.

Despite a series of price cuts across its product range, competitive pressure and cost inflation, Maruti has consistently expanded its margins over the past three years (220bp over FY04-07). Estimated volume growth is at 16.4% CAGR over FY07-10; aggressive model launches could result in positive surprises. Margins would expand from 15.3% in FY07 to 15.9% in FY08, despite consolidation of the Manesar plant. EPS is estimated to be at at Rs67.7 for FY08 and Rs79.2 for FY09. The stock is attractive at 11.5x FY08E EPS and 9.8x FY09E EPS.

Centurion Bank of Punjab merger of Lord Krishna Bank

Centurion Bank of Punjab announced that it has received the Reserve Bank of India’s approval for the merger of Lord Krishna Bank with it. The merger is effective from 29 August 2007 and Centurion will issue seven shares in itself for every five held in Lord Krishna, the bank said.

Net profit of Centurion Bank of Punjab rose 14.90% to Rs 33.01 crore on 75.84% rise in total operating income to Rs 445.60 crore in Q1 June 2007 over Q1 June 2006.

Centurion Bank of Punjab’s principal activities are to provide banking and other financial services to corporate and private customers. It provides personal banking, cash management, retail loans and other financial services.