Small Cap Multibaggers – Edelweiss

Indian Multibagger StocksEdelweiss Capital has announced the list of Multibaggers in the Small Cap which have a growth story to beat ace investors as well. Here is the list and small coverage on the same.

ABC Bearings:
ABC Bearings (ABC) is amongst the leading players in tapered roller bearings. It supplies to most of the commercial vehicle OEM’s, who form ~45% of the total Indian bearings demand. Spurred by higher manufacturing growth and improved road infrastructure we believe demand for commercial vehicles (CVs) would continue to grow strongly in the future, in turn fuelling demand for ABC’s products as well.

ABC has the potential to double its revenues over the next 3-4 years with its capacity expansion initiatives. At the CMP of INR 105, ABC is trading at 6.0x its FY07 earnings, which is at a steep discount to the average industry P/E of 13x TTM, inspite of its high margins and return ratios.

Ador Welding:
Ador Welding (Ador), one of India’s largest welding equipment manufacturers, has over five decades of experience. Ador’s strong relationships with clients and superior product offerings place it well to exploit opportunities arising in the welding industry. At a growth of 11.3% Y-o-Y, FY07 saw the Indian IIP grow at its fastest since FY96.

Ador is targeting revenues of INR 4.5 bn over the next three years with total investments of ~INR 700 mn over FY05-FY08 to achieve this target. We expect good traction for each of Ador’s businesses, on the back of its linkages with the IIP and a robust outlook for the Indian economy. At CMP of INR 265, the stock is attractively valued at 11.1x its FY07 earnings with a 5% dividend yield.

Automobile Corporation of Goa:
Jointly promoted by Economic Development Corporation of Goa (EDC) and Tata Motors Ltd. (TML), Automobile Corporation of Goa (ACGL) started commercial production of bus bodies for TML in 1989. The company’s bus body division, which contributed 70% of FY07 sales, has registered a volume growth of 38% CAGR since FY03 on the back of strong export sales of TML’s bus division which grew at 50% CAGR over the same period. ACGL has increased its installed capacity from 1,200 units in FY04 to 4,200 units in FY07 and plans to further augment it to 10,000 units by FY10E. Since ACGL currently meets only ~35-40% of TML’s export requirements.

ACGL’s revenues and profits have grown at 43% and 31% CAGR respectively over FY04-07. We expect the company to post a 22.2% CAGR growth in revenues over FY07-10E. At the CMP of INR 385 the stock trades at 9.4x FY07 EPS of INR 41.1.

Bajaj Electricals:
Bajaj Electricals (BEL) is among the leading providers of home appliances, high masts and poles, luminaries, and fans in India. It commands a 65% market share in the high masts and poles segment and is a market leader in OTG, water heaters, and irons segments. BEL is primarily focused on marketing and believes in creating a strong distribution network rather than investing in manufacturing facilities. The company has a strong marketing and distribution network comprising 19 branch offices with over 120,000 retail outlets in India.

BEL is on a high growth trajectory, given its dominant position in most of the product segments, strong distribution network, and focus on high-margin premium products. Post the “Odyssey 1001”, through which the company embarked its journey to achieve sales of INR 10 bn in FY07, the company has now set its eyes to achieve sales of INR 20 bn by 2009-10 through the theme “Zoom ahead”.

Fem Care Pharma:
Fem Care Pharma (Fem), has been one of the pioneers in the domestic women’s bleach market. Fem currently controls ~ 90% of the INR 460 mn women’s bleach segment in India, which is expected to grow by ~15% over the next three years. The company has recently launched its premium variant Oxybleach at the retail level, which contributed ~12% of bleach sales in FY07.

The company expects to triple its turnover over the next four years on the back of expanded capacities coming on stream, cashing in on its dominant position in the women’s bleach market, and new product launches, thereby expanding its addressable market. Also, there will be tax benefits accruing from its Himachal plant, and excise benefits accruing from its export focused unit at Nashik which would enhance its net margins and EBITDA margins, respectively. At CMP of INR 505, the stock is trading at just 13.4x its FY07 earnings.

Tamil News Channel approval for Raj TV

Raj Television Network has got approval from Ministry of information and broadcasting for launching of one 24×7 Tamil news channel.

The Company is proposing to start the new channel on 14 November 2007.
The new channel shall be a seven days per week news channel in Tamil language covering all types of general news, business news and other news both national and international. Our readers can recall that Raj TV has become the official news channel of ruling DMK party in Tamil Nadu after the split in Maran and Karunanidhi family.

The company is hopeful that the market share of the company shall be increased after the launch of the new channel

DLF Makes it to SENSEX

In a Fax we received just a while ago from Mumbai, we learn that DLF has been included in the 30 stocks Indian Indiex – BSE SENSEX.

Dr Reddy’s Lab is the stock moving out and paving way for DLF.

Additional modifications have also been done to the BSE 100 Index. Asian Paints, Bioco, Canara Bank, Dabur, Dish TV India and Videocon are out of the BSE 100. Stocks that are included are in the BSE 100 are Idea Cellular, Adani Enterprises, Jindal Steel & Power, Patni Computer Systems, Power Finance Corporation and Union Bank of India.

Here is Kotak’s coverage on DLF. Citigroup has also initiated coverage on DLF.

Top 10 Small + Midcap Asian Companies by EPS Growth Rates

Top 10 Small & Mid Cap Stocks Ranked by EPS Growth. Source Citigroup

Company name and its FY07E EPS Growth
1 Gigabyte 1,346%
2 Moser Baer India 1,311%
3 Dore Holdings 1,268%
4 Perfect World 1,161%
5 Beijing Capital Land 861%
6 E.Sun FHC 706%
7 REXCAPITAL Financial 704%
8 Doosan Industrial Dev 576%
9 KLCC Property Holdings 571%
10 Great Eagle 403%

The Indian Power Sector Report

Tata Power: Tata Power management in its recent presentation in September 2007 stated that they expect power generation capacity to grow five times in the next five years. The company is already implementing projects of 5,763MW and another 4,700 MW is planned and therefore expect 10,313MW to be installed by FY13.

The stock has had a decent run of 50.4% appreciation over the last month and is now trading at 12.1x FY09e earnings, which is substantially lower than the Indian utilities average of 20.1x. It is attractive given its high growth potential compared with the Asian utilities universe. On the back of higher visibility of the implementation of its power projects, we forecast its net profit to grow at 58% CAGR over the next five years.

Given the higher visibility over the implementation of its power projects and backward integration in coal production, our cash flow estimates in FY12 and FY13 increase substantially. DCF valuation from INR871 to INR1559. As we move on from FY08 to FY09 as the base year for our sum-of the parts valuation, we raise our S-o-P valuation from INR817 to INR837 and raise the target price from Rs 843 to Rs 1,198.

Power Grid Corporation of India Ltd: The stock just had a fantastic listing on the bourses. It is a major customer to the following companies.

KEC International:
Compared to peers like Jyoti Structures and Kalpataru Power, KEC International has underperformed its peers and the Sensex, the merger announcement with its two group companies – RPG Transmission and National Information Technologies (NITL) – being the key reason. The order backlog consisting of 75-80% of international orders, which is the largest such percentage among its peers.

A combination of PE multiple and DCF approaches to determine the target price for KEC: the DCF model yields a value of INR730 and based on our September FY08e EPS forecast and assuming rolling one-year forward PE of 18x, our PE multiple approach yields a fair value of INR 810. The mid point – INR770 – of the two valuation approaches is the revised target price.

Kalpataru Power:
Kalpataru Power has a diversified business. Apart from power transmission line business it is also present in infrastructure and biomass power. The company has a strong order backlog of INR23bn in the transmission line business.

Kalpataru’s target price is the mid-point – INR1960 – of DCF fair value of INR 1,810 and PE multiple based value of INR1,836 and INR137 derived from investment in its subsidiary, JMC Projects.

Jyoti Structures:
The current order backlog of the company is INR23bn. Management has indicated that the company has a tie up for the Western Region System Strengthening. Based on current order backlog and buoyancy in the power transmission line sector, expect sales CAGR of 30% for the period of FY07-10e.

HSBC downgrades the stock to Neutral with a new target price of Rs 262 – is the mid-point of our DCF fair value INR210 and PE multiple based fair value of INR314, which is higher than our earlier target price of INR 254.

HSBC is overweight on BHEL.