TCS – Q1 Analysis – Flat Revenues

India’s number one IT Services and Consulting Company, TCS reported flat revenues $1,525m which were below consensus estimates. EBITDA margins were 22.1%. TCS reported lower than expected forex loses boosting Net Profit for Q! FY09 to Rs 12.4b.

Volumes increased 1.3% while blended pricing declined ~90bp qoq. Decline in pricing was due to lower product revenues and less revenues from transformational deals. The company said that it has signed ~12 large deals in Q1 and is working on 20 more such deals which are still in the pipeline.

The management does expect growth to revert in the coming quarters. TCS trades at ~13x FY09E, which is close to historic lows and at ~18% discount to Infosys. For FY09 the company is expected to report an EPS of Rs 60.

HDFC Equity’s Stock Selection Strategy

HDFC Equity Fund, one of the top performers in the Indian market has been around for 13 years now. [Originally from ITC Threadneedle then to Zurich and then into HDFC AMC] The silent and soft-spoken Sr. Fund Manager, Prashant Jain who rarely comments in the media has released a note celebrating 13 years of HDFC Equity Fund.

One thing that is worth noticing in the note is the stock selection procedure adopted by the company sticking to its internal process of “Avoiding the Big Mistakes” [ Real Estate, Brokerage Houses etc]. He further said,

Owning strong businesses, that are likely to grow earnings at above market rates. Focusing on long term prospects and valuations and ignoring short to medium term market aberrations i.e ignoring momentum stocks / stocks with excessive valuations if not justified by fundamentals. Remain diversified with exposure to mid-caps varying between a third to fourth of portfolio.

You can read the complete article by Mr. Jain here. [PDF]

BGR Energy bags order worth Rs 4,900 crore

BGR Energy System’s Power Projects Division has secured an EPC contract from Rajasthan Rajya Vidyut Utpadan Nigam (RRVUNL) for the 2 x 600 MW Kalisindh Thermal Power Project.

The EPC order from the RRVUNL is for Kalisindh Thermal Power Project. The EPC contract worth Rs 4,900.06 crore will be executed over 39 months for Unit I and 42 months for Unit II.

Tanla Solutions – Q1 Growth Saga

Tanla Solutions Limited’s (TSL) Q1FY09 performance was better than our expectations. TSL Net sales stood at Rs 1688.6mn in Q1FY09 against Rs 894mn in QFY08, grew by 88.9% YoY. TSL Profit stood at Rs 564mn in Q1FY09 against Rs 332mn in Q1FY08, grew by 69.9% YoY. TSL posted a Basic EPS of Rs 5.64 in Q1FY09.

Some of the moves in Q1 that will have a positive impact on the company in the forthcoming quarters are,

  • Tanla’s acquisition of 85% in Finland based Openbit for US$15.81 million at a total valuation of US$18.60 million.
  • Premium SMS partnerships live with all operators in India.
  • Interactive Campaign Manager product launched in India, to help
    enterprises / telecom operators to manage, set and run mobile
    campaigns
  • Product M Raga ( innovative mobile radio ) signed up with Bharti Airtel in 2 circles expected these service to roll out in the Second Quarter Q2FY09.
  • Signed up voice portals with BSNL to set up voice portals in all 23 circles in India covering GSM networks

We prefer Tanla Solutions over OnMobile in the Mobile Value Added Services space in India.

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