IndiaBulls ADR + IFCI Derivatives Curb

Indiabulls Real Estate priced its US$ 360 million GDRs offering on the Luxembourg stock exchange at US$ 10.32 per GDR. Each GDR represents one equity share of the Company of nominal value Rs 2 each. The company has also granted an over-allotment option of up to US$ 40 million to Merill Lynch International.

NSE has banned building fresh derivatives positions in IFCI as 95% of market wide limit had reached in the stock. Trading in IFCI derivatives contracts will only be allowed to reduce positions. The scrip touched a high of Rs 63.40 and low of Rs 59.75 so far during the day. On BSE, 72.94 lakh shares were traded in the scrip.

The stock had average daily volume of 1.33 crore shares on BSE in past one quarter.
The company’s equity capital is Rs 639.99 crore, with 63.99 crore outstanding shares of a face value of Rs 10 each. The scrip gained 36% in one month to 3 July 2007 versus Sensex’s 2.14% rise. It added 98.11% in past three months against Sensex’s 15.80% rise.

Himatsingka Seide acquires 80% stake in Divatex

Himatsingka Seide has acquired an 80% stake in Divatex Home Fashions Inc. New York through its subsidiary Himatsingka America Inc. The agreement was signed on 01 July 2007 in New York, the enterprise value for the transaction is US$ 75 MM.
Divatex is among the top three distributors of bed linen products in the US.

As Divatex is a large distributor of bed linen products, there will be significant synergies for sourcing requirements from the new US$ 100 MM bed linen facility of Himatsingka at the Hassan Special Economic Zone in Karnataka. The facility has commenced trial production and is likely to commence commercial production in July 2007

HDIL – Review and Recommendation

Housing Development and Infrastructure (HDIL), part of the Wadhwan group develops real estate mainly in the Mumbai Metropolitan Region. Since its incorporation in 1996, the company has developed 23 projects covering approximately 11 million square feet of saleable area, including about 5.7 million square feet of land sold to other builders after the development. It also have constructed an additional two million square feet of rehabilitation housing area under the slum rehabilitation schemes. Dewan Housing Finance Corporation, a listed company is part of the promoter group.

HDIL is coming out with an IPO to fund acquisition of land or land development rights for its ongoing and planned projects. The price band is Rs 430- Rs 500.

HDIL has land reserves of approximately 112.1 million square feet of saleable area to be developed through 32 ongoing or planned projects. The company has 21 ongoing projects under construction and development, aggregating to approximately 45.5 million square feet of saleable area, and has 11 planned projects aggregating approximately 66.6 million square feet of saleable area. Of the land reserves, about 73.4% is actually owned by the company; and 15.7% of it is to be acquired under memorandum of understanding (MoU) and agreements.

Advances from customers are Rs 512.1 crore end March 2007, representing amounts that have been received from customers but not booked by the company as sales. As and when the projects are completed, this amount will percolate to the top line. This represents 43% of the reported FY 2007 revenue. There was an inventory of Rs 1324.48 crore (approximately 98% constitutes work in progress) end March 2007.

On the flip side:
Of the total land bank, 82% is in Mumbai Metropolitan Region, with a significant proportion in the Vasai-Virar region and in residential projects. The currently benchmark rates in Vasai-Virar region are in the range of only Rs 1000-1800 per square feet. In the year ending March 2007, 69% of reported revenue was derived from selling of development rights/floor space index (FSI).

Valuation:
Knight Frank had valued HDIL’s per share value at Rs 984. Cushman & Wakefield has valued per share value at Rs 1028. These valuations are six months old and the real-estate market condition has changed after that.

Consolidated FY 2007 EPS on post-issue equity, assuming green shoe option is exercised, works out to Rs 25.3. At the offer price band of Rs 430 – Rs 500, the P/E range is 17-19.8, respectively. Comparable companies location-wise (focused on Mumbai) are: Akruti Nirman (mainly into slum rehabilitation) and Orbit Corporation (mainly into redeveloping projects) are trading at P/E of 31.5 and 16, respectively. However both these companies are much smaller compared with HDIL. Comparable listed player in terms of size, Parsvnath Developers (with development rights of approximately 151 million square feet), is currently trading at 22 times its FY 2007 earning.

Recommendation:
Investors willing to hold for long term / with some risk appetite should apply as their will be listing gains for sure.

Real Estate Major – DLF will list on July-5th on the bourse.

IDFC scales record high on fund raising plan

Infrastructure Development Finance Company (IDFC) is planning to shortly raise about $500 million through a qualified institutional placement.

Earlier on 25 April 2007, the board of directors of the company had approved a plan to raise capital through issue of equity or quasi-equity instruments up to $ 500 million subject to the approval of the shareholders.

The scrip hit a high of Rs 135.80 today, which is a lifetime high for the scrip. It hit a low of Rs 132.2 so far during the day. It had touched a 52 week low of Rs 43.35 on 24 July 2006.

Infrastructure Development Finance Company (IDFC) scrip had declined 16.07% over the last one month to 2 July 2007 compared to the Sensex’s return of 0.64%. The scrip outperformed the market over the past quarter, gaining 71.17% compared to the Sensex’s rise of 16.16%.

Buy Maruti Udyog – Citi

Citigroup Research just a while ago recommended a BUY on Maruti Udyog Ltd with a price target of Rs 945.

Domestic sales rose c26% YoY, buoyed by the sharp growth in the key sub-compact segment. The company sold 59,917 vehicles in June an increase of 0.9% over May-07. Maruti is expected to do well for the rest of the year. Citi rates the stock as a Low Risk BUY. 12-month target price of Rs945 is based on 11x P/CEPS FY09E. The multiple compares favorably with the cash earnings CAGR of c16.3% over FY07E-09E.

Buy Mahindra and Mahindra – Citigroup

Strong UV sales (+34% YoY), offset weak growth within the tractor segment. UV sales across product segments were strong, with both Scorpio and non-Scorpio volumes up 32% and 35% respectively. Export initiatives within the auto sector continue – growth was strong at +89% YoY, albeit off a modest base.

The initial response to the Logan has been fairly positive – especially given that the Logan was launched in only 11 cities. Management plans to expand capacity from 90 vehicles/day to 180 vehicles / day over the next two months.

Citi maintains a BUY on Mahindra and Mahindra with a price target of Rs 1032 which is based on sum of parts valuation. M&M’s core business at Rs 543 / share. M&M’s listed subsidiaries (Rs402 / share), Auto component business (Rs57 /share) and M&M’s investments in other subsidiaries (including Mahindra Holidays at Rs30 /share).