Panacea Biotec + Ranbaxy US FDA

Panacea Biotec has entered into a MOA with Family Vaccines, Philippines to provide access to value added combination vaccines under the umbrella of easy vaccines manufactured by the company, to the people in Philippines through a chain of 50 immunization clinics, run by Family Vaccines.

Philippines has a birth cohort of around 2.5 million with an EPI immunization coverage of about 80%. At a GNI per capita at US $ 1170 and a GDP per capita at US $ 4614, Philippines has been accorded a developing country status. The global vaccine market is expected to top US $ 10 billion in 2007 and US $ 23.8 billion in 2012.

Ranbaxy Laboratories on 04 October 2007 the company has received final approval from U.S. FDA to manufacture and market clarithromycin for oral suspension, USP, 125 mg/5 ml and 250 mg/5 ml. The company is the first company to have been granted a generic approval for the oral suspension form along with clarithromycin tablets. Total annual market sales for clarithromycin were $99.7 million with suspension sales totaling $25.3 million.

The office of generic drugs, U.S. FDA, determined the Ranbaxy formulation to be bioequivalent and to have the same therapeutic effect as that of the reference listed drug Biaxin Granules (clarithromycin for oral suspension, USP), 125 mg/5 ml and 250 mg/5 ml of abbott laboratories.

IndiaBulls Coverage of RCOM + Kotak Bank

Here is a brief update from Indiabulls on the following Stocks.

Reliance Communications: With an expected increase in the subscriber base coupled with acquisition of Yipes Holdings, the Company’s net sales are estimated to increase at a CAGR of 27.7% for FY07-FY09E. Moreover, the Company’s initiatives in the form of possible listing of FLAG Telecom and RTIL and hive off of its BPO and Tower business will further add value to the stock. India bulls maintain a Buy rating on the stock with a target price of Rs. 665 over a period of 9-months.

Kotak Bank:The present economic scenario offers immense opportunities for Kotak to grow in scale and reach along with value creation. Commercial banking and life insurance businesses to be the future growth driver. Remain positive due to the Bank’s high NIM, huge advances growth, diverse product base, and cross selling of financial products. India bulls values Kotak on sum-of-the-parts valuation on account of substantial benefits coming from subsidiaries. Banking business at Rs. 366 based on a target FY09E P/BV multiple of 3.5x and the different subsidiaries at Rs. 591 FY09E. Maintain a Hold rating on the stock with a target price of Rs. 957.

Volvo to BUY stake in Eicher Motors

European automobile major Volvo is reportedly in advanced negotiations to acquire a majority stake in Eicher Motors. As per reports, Volvo has emerged as the front-runner after inspecting the Indian truck makers’ books, pipping DaimlerChrysler.

Report suggests that Volvo had offered Rs 675 an Eicher share against Daimler’s Rs 500. The deal price is expected to be above Volvo’s offer, translating into a market capitalisation of around Rs 2,000 crore for Eicher Motors. This is way above Eicher’s current market price and market capitalisation of Rs 1,202.53 crore.

Volvo may acquire the majority stake in the company either from the promoters or through fresh issue of shares trough the preferential route. The existing promoters headed by Siddhartha Vikram Lal will continue to own a minority stake in Eicher Motors, which could be less than 26%, the report added.

Edelweiss’ Top Picks in India

In a recently conducted London Conference, here are Edelweiss Capitals top picks in India and their target prices.

  • Akruti Nirman – NAV basis valuation @ Rs 1,231 per share
  • Ashapura Minchem – Target not specified
  • Axis Bank – deliver 13-15% RoE and 20% EPS CAGR during FY07-09E. The stock currently trades at 2.8x FY09E book and 23.6x FY09E earnings
  • B L Kashyap – Expected to report an EPS of Rs 100 and Rs 131 for FY08 and FY09 respectively.
  • Elder Pharma
  • Ess Dee Aluminum
  • Housing Development Infrastructure Ltd – HDIL – NAV basis valuation @ Rs 597 / share
  • Infotech Enterprises – EPS expectations of Rs 17 and Rs 24 for FY08 and FY09 respectively
  • Jindal Saw
  • JSW Steel
  • Kalpataru Power Transmission – EPS estimates of Rs 76.3 and Rs 94.4 for FY08 and FY09
  • Mastek
  • MIC Electronics – EPS estimates of Rs 24 and Rs 33 for FY08 and FY09
  • Reliance Industries – The stock is trading higher than its target price of Rs 2,299
  • Unitech

You can research and then enter the stock when the market corrects.

SEBI considering Dutch Auction for IPO

Our IPO analyst has learnt that SEBI has recommended a Dutch Auction process for IPOs. Google went IPO in this route. The move is to discourage small investors to make a profit on listing.

The government had discussed the proposal with SEBI after which the panel was entrusted with the task. According to one model being considered by the committee, qualified institutional buyers (more…)

Reliance Capital – Book Profits

Edelweiss is recommending investors to book profits in Reliance Capital.

The company’s overall business performance and expect its asset management segment to grow by 45% over FY07-10E, market share in life insurance to improve significantly to 10% by FY09E and 11% in FY10E, and the GWP in general insurance to grow aggressively at 100% plus over FY07-09E. Moreover, we estimate the company’s retail broking business to generate a profit of INR 1,050 mn by FY09E and INR 1,575 mn by FY10E, and its consumer finance book to grow to INR 115 bn by FY09E and INR 185 bn by FY10E.

Sum-of-the-parts (SOTP) framework gives us the base case fair value of INR 1,573 on FY09E and INR 1,874 on FY10E estimates and we believe the stock should hover in this range in the medium term. Investors can book profit at these levels and to view any weakness in the stock as an opportunity to re-enter.

Assigning a 100% probability to what the company seeks to achieve over the next two years, we arrive at the fair value of INR 1,894 on FY09E estimates and INR 2,482 on FY10E basis (best case).

Here is Merill Lynch’s Coverage on Reliance Capital.