HSBC Underweight on ING Vysya Bank

New equity likely to sustain recovery in loan growth. Capital adequacy ratio to improve to a comfortable level; has been the lowest among peers since 2005.

Consequent to the increase in capital adequacy, the loan growth will improve to 19.6% at the end of March 2008 as compared to the forecast of 18.0% we had assumed earlier for the same period. However, loan growth to continue to stay below the industry average of c23%.

Increase net profit forecasts by 4.1%, 10.3 % and 8.7% to INR1.1bn, INR1.5bn and INR 2.0 for FY08e, FY09e and FY10e respectively. Target price raised for Vysa from INR231 to INR249 per share. Potential downside of 6.2% from CMP of Rs 265, with an underweight rating for the stock.

Mastek’s Buy Back Gimmick – Beware

The management of Mastek which has miserably failed to grow in the past 5 years and is still a small cap company is now trying to play BUY BACK gimmick to boost its share price.

The company has approved buyback of equity shares at a price not exceeding Rs 750 per share through open market purchases route. It has set aside a maximum Rs 65 crore for buyback.

At the current price of Rs 390.50, the scrip trades at a PE multiple of 26.89, based on Q4 June 2007 annualised EPS of Rs 14.52. The stock is already expensive and we strongly recommend our readers not to take any fresh exposure. If you already hold Mastek, then Book Profits once the price stabilizes.

Flash News Investment

Hanung Toys & Textiles:
It’s already India’s largest manufacturer of soft toys. Now Hanung Toys plans a fairy tale-like foray into home furnishing. The order book of the Rs 275-crore soft toys and bed linen export is crammed. Within the last three weeks, Hanung has signed deals worth over $265 million (Rs 1,060 crore).

In next few years, Hanung will work on expanding its footprint across the country. It is already present in over 3,000 stores, which includes like Archies, Lifestyle, Shoppers’ Stop and Pantaloons. Hanung has invested Rs 160 crore in a new plant in Uttaranchal, which will boost its capacity from six million metres to 39 million metres. As with toys, the new plant will also help Hanung grow its domestic business.

On the valuation front, the CMP of Rs 173.85 discounts its FY07 earning by 15.75x. But with the management confident of its 50 per cent growth the counter seems to be a good buy.

Dhanlakshmi Bank:
Dhanalakshmi Bank is a Kerala based bank, with about 180 branches and 26 extension counters spread. The bank has deposits of about Rs 3200 crore, advances of about Rs 2000 crore, investments of about Rs 700 crore and capital adequacy of about 9.87 per cent.

Recently the RBI did not allow the bank to come out with right issue as promoter holding is higher than 10 per cent. But recently the promoters have brought down their holding to 9.68 per cent by selling stake in the open market. So, now the company can go for right issue which will increase its networth beyond Rs 300 crore, which will also help the bank to take its
branch network beyond 200.

Warburg Schweiz, Deutsche Bank and FIIs like Lotus Global Investments, Rhodus Diversified Fund and Somerset Emerging Opportunities Fund have bought stake in the bank. The counter would be a good takeover candidate in the long run.

The bank may post an EPS of Rs 8 plus for FY08 and the right issue may likely to be in the ratio of 1:1 with the price not exceeding Rs 50 per share; close to its present book value. This, would be perceived positively by the market.

Nokia Siemens Research at Wipro Campus

Wipro has signed the R&D partnership contract in Germany by Nokia Siemens Networks and Wipro Technologies, a division of Wipro. Nokia Siemens Networks and Wipro Technologies, the global IT arm of Wipro have agreed on the terms and conditions of a business transfer and asset sale of Nokia Siemens Networks radio access related R&D activities in Berlin.

All radio rccess R&D activities currently performed in Berlin are planned to be provided to Nokia Siemens Networks by Wipro technologies in the future. As part of the partnership, 58 employees of Nokia Siemens Networks are planned to be fully integrated into the operations of Wipro technologies. Through this agreement, Nokia Siemens Networks will leverage Wipro technologies’ global expertise as one of the largest independent R&D services providers in the world.

Wipro is one of the leading players in telecom engineering solutions space, covering wireless, wireline, broadband and enterprise communication, legacy and next generation products. Wipro has been focusing significantly in competency development for next generation radio access technologies.

iGate Buyback at Rs 450 / share

iGate surprised us this quarter with the announcement to buy back and de-list from Indian stock exchanges by December 2007. The tendering process would be through a reverse book building route with the average price prevailing prior to November 13th, 2007 as a base price. Our analsyt recommends investors to tender their shares with a price of Rs 450 which discounts our FY09E EPS of Rs 30 by 15x. The buyback price would be decided based on the price tendered by the highest number of shareholders.

Maruti + Magneti Marelli in Partnership

The manufacturing facilities of this joint venture company will be located in Manesar, in the industrial district of Gurgaon, India.

The initial investment of this project is 15 million Euros (about Rs 75 crore) and it will be funded through a mix of equity and debt. As per the agreement, Magneti Marelli will contribute 51% of the share capital of the new company, Suzuki Motor Corporation will contribute 30% and Maruti Suzuki 19%.

The production will commence in end 2008. Initially, the elctronic control unit (ECU) produced at Manesar will be used for Maruti Suzuki diesel cars and later on, it will also cater to other car manufacturers.

Meanwhile, as per recent reports, Maruti Suzuki’s proposal to set JV with Japan based Futaba Industrial Co, for manufacture and sale of exhaust system components for automobiles has been approved with foreign equity of up to 51% amounting to Rs 45.9 crore, company said.

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