BUY Elder Pharma – Reliance Money

Reliance Money has initiated coverage on Elder Pharmaceuticals with a BUY recommendation and a target price of Rs 554.

Elder Pharma has been a India centric pharma company but of late it has forayed into the regulated markets of Europe by acquiring a strategic 20% stake in Neutra Health PLC (an UK based neutraceutical company) and a 51% stake in Biomeda (one of the top 10 manufacturing and distribution company in Bulgeria).

The company maintains its leadership positioning in Women’s healthcare, wound care management and nutraceuticals. It has a fantastic folio of domestic Fast Moving Heath Goods (FMHG) segment with brands like – Fair One, Tiger Balm, AM PM Mouthwash etc.

Elder Pharma’s revenues and profit grew at a CAGR of 19.3% and 50% respectively over last five years upto FY07. Going forward, RMoney estimates the revenues to grow at a CAGR of 18.3% during FY07-09E. As a result,profit growth is estimated to be @ 31.5% and 24.9% to Rs 647.10 mn and Rs 808.4 mn in FY08E and FY09E respectively.

At current price of Rs 416 the stock trades at a 9x EV/EBITDA of FY09E and trades at 10x EPS FY09E. R Money are initiates coverage on Elder with a target price of Rs 554, based on DCF valuations.

IDFC + CONCOR Results

IDFC’s reported standalone net profit for 2QFY08 of Rs1.79 bn, up 27% yoy but 8% below estimates. IDFC’s net operating income was up 43% yoy, mainly supported by strong loan growth, likely stable spreads but higher NIMs—on the back of recent capital issuance. Standalone fees, a lumpy income stream, have grown considerably but below estimates. The company has booked lower-than-expected capital gains during the quarter. While provisions have been higher, reported operating expenses were lower as IDFC adjusted share issue expenses with share premium account.

Container Corporation of India [CONCOR] reported revenues of Rs8,188 mn (up 6.4% yoy) and PAT of Rs1,742 mn (down 8% yoy). Operating margins reduced significantly – by 690 bps on a yoy basis to 25.9%. Exim volume growth at 12.6% was lower than our expectation of 14%. This was despite the discounts given on FEUs in an effort to take traffic away from roads. However, domestic volume growth at 38.4% was a positive surprised (we expected 15%). The steep margin decline is attributable to discounts, higher number of empties (due to imbalance in exim trade and repositioning of containers in the domestic segment) and additional charges by Indian Railways. 5 competitors have commenced operations. Volumes and margins of Concor are likely to be affected as competitors scale up. Fresh and Healthy, Concor’s cold chain subsidiary is likely to start sales from January next year. Kotak has a revised Target Price of Rs 2200 on CONCOR.

Himatsingka Seide’s second international store

Himatsingka Seide has announced that the opening of the second international store for ‘Atmosphere’, in Singapore, on 12 October 2007. The first overseas store of ‘Atmosphere’ opened in Dubai in May 2007. The Dubai store has met with very encouraging response from interior designers and retail customers from all over GCC. The Dubai unit has already executed orders for palaces, high end hotels and local HNI’s.

The Singapore store is located very close to the premium Orchard Road area and is in close proximity to stores of the world’s leading luxury brands. This location is very suitable for retail sales.

Store locations are also being finalized in other cities of South East Asia and North Asia. Atmosphere’s third store in Mumbai and its 12th store in India will open in October 2007. The retail subsidiary is also in the process of finalizing other stores in India.

Raising RIL’s Target Price – Macquarie

Macquarie Research just a while ago upgraded the stock of Reliance Industries Ltd with a new target price of Rs 3,100. 20.8% Potential upside from current levels.

RIL plans to build one of the world’s largest cracker and petrochemicals complexes at Jamnagar. The proposed facility, with 2mtpa capacity, will be built at a capital cost of US$3bn and is expected to come on-stream by FY3/11.RIL has 4.4bn boe of 2P hydrocarbon reserves which are twice of that provided by partner in KGD6, Niko resources and compares with 1.5bn boe of 1P reserves stated in recently released annual report.

Sum of Parts Valuation of the company by Macquarie,

Core Business Rs 1161
IPCL Rs 70
Fuel Retailing Rs 85
E&P Business Rs 263
75% stake in Reliance Petroleum – Rs 386
Treasury Stock Rs 359
CBM-Sohagpur and NEC 25 Gas – Rs 198
Other E&P (D9, D3 and GS-01) Rs 119
Organised retail venture – Rs 165
2mtpa Ethylene Cracker – Rs 295

This is still very cheap as they have not factored in the vast Land Banks the company has been accumulating for its SEZ and Retail venture.

Coverage of Reliance Industries by Goldman Sachs, CLSA, Deutsche Bank

Punj Lloyd Wins Qatar Contract of Rs 389 crore

We have just now received a communication from the company stating that they have received an EPC order.

Punj Lloyd Limited, a global provider of EPC services in the energy, infrastructure and petrochemical sectors, has secured a contract to construct the Multi-Product pipeline from Qatar Petroleum on an EPC basis. Total value of the order is 360 Million Qatar Riyal.

Our Analyst tracking the stock adds that, with this, the order backlog for the Punj Lloyd group on consolidated basis has gone up to Rs. 16,872.46 crore.

Book Profits in Reliance Capital Limited – ISEC

ICICI has recommended all its investors to Book Profits in Reliance Capital with a target price of Rs 1,500, potential downside of 20%.

CardBhai writes to us that, Reliance Capital will kick off its Consumer Finance Business next week offering Personal Car, Home, Property and all different kinds of loans.

Reliance Capital has retained its leadership position in AMC which constitutes Rs 295 per share to Reliance Capital’s valuation. Life insurance premium has increased by 120% to Rs 474 crore for period up to August 2007.General insurance premium grew 195% to Rs 807 crore during the same period.

Sum of Parts Valuation of Reliance Capital,

  • Reliance Capital (Standalone) 308
  • Reliance General Insurance 83
  • Reliance Capital Asset Management 295
  • Reliance Life Insurance 545
  • Reliance Money 56
  • Unrealised gains of quoted equity book at 10% discount 189
  • Adlabs Films value held in Reliance Land at 10% discount 24

Total Value is Rs 1,500. The company is likely to report an EPS of Rs 31 for FY08 and Rs 37 for FY09. Valuations look stretched. Book Partial profits at current levels.

1 14 15 16 17 18 26