Indian Real Estate Stocks are Overvalued. – Samir Arora

Samir Arora the infamous fund manager of Alliance Capital Limited during the Dot Com Boom who is now a Singapore based FII said to CNBC TV 18 that the Indian Real Estate Stocks are overvalued.

He also said that Indian market looked over valued because of the fundamental flaw in how the SENSEX stocks are chosen. Sensex only has the high growth and market value stocks, which always trade at higher PE multiple and hence it looks for an outsider that Indian stock market is over valued. However, if you exclude those stocks, then other Indian stocks are available at the same PE multiple as their peers in China, Russia and Brazil.

Info Edge India Limited – IPO Review

Naukri.Com holding and promoter company Info Edge India Limited’s IPO will open for subscription on Oct-30th and closes on Nov-2nd. Here is an analysis of the same. First, I am very disappointed by the way the company management has arranged the financial figures of EPS, RONW, etc without tabulating on page 10 of the application form.

IPO of 5,323,851 equity shares of Rs10 each through 100% book building process. The price band has been fixed at Rs290 to Rs320 per equity share. This translates the issue size to be in the range of Rs154.39 crores and Rs170.36 crores.

Retail Investors have 30% of the issue reserved for them. Non-Institutional investors have 10% of the issue reserved for them.

Background on Info Edge India Limited:
The company derives major part of its revenues from recruitment classifieds and related services. 92.73% for the past year. rest of the revenue is contributed by Jeevansathi (Matrimonial Site) and 99Acres (Real Estate Site). Naukri.Com is the leader in online recruitment in India. Jeevansathi made it to the top-3 in online matrimony in India. 99Acres is relatively young trying to establish itself.

Brief Financials about Info Edge India Limited:
Income in crores.
FY2004 – Income=9.076 EPS=1.12
FY2005 – Income=19.472 EPS=0.15
FY2006 – Income=84.057 ESP=6.08

Post-Issue Share Holding and Financials:
Number of Eq. Shares = 2,72,95,256 of Rs10 each
If Promoters don’t sell their shares upon listing then, they will hold 54.6%

The company reported a net profit of Rs5.219 crores for Q1-2006. If the figures are annualised, then the company is expected to report a Net Profit of Rs20.87 crores and an EPS of Rs7.64.
At EPS of 7.64, the issue price of Rs290 or Rs320 translates into a forward P/E Multiple of 37.95 or 41.88.

I have requested for some more details from the company and will write my recommendation whether to APPLY or AVOID the issue after I receive a reply from the company.

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HDFC’s reverse merge with HDFC Bank

Their are rumors again on the street that HDFC is planning to merge itself HDFC Bank Limited. HDFC Bank stock has moved up considerably since the June market crash while HDFC Limited has been a market performer. This may imply that HDFC Bank shareholders are likely to benefit from the merger. HDFC has rejected any such move but in the Diwali Special of Samavat interview with Ramesh Damani, Rakesh Jhunjhunwala and Shankar Sharma, Mr. Jhunjhunwala was of the opinion that HDFC Bank Limited is a great stock to have in one portfolio.

Franklin Templeton Capital Safety Fund – NFO

Good news, this diwali we have a new fund offering from Franklin Templeton India – Franklin Templeton Capital Safety Fund. This is India’s first capital protected scheme and the fund targets capital preservation according to the new guidelines on capital protection by SEBI.

The fund aims to protect capital by investing in high quality equity and provides safety of capital through debt investments. This fund has AAA (so) rating from Crisil indicating the highest degree of certainty on timely repayment of the units at face value.

Templeton Capital Safety Fund Offer Details : The new fund offer opens on October 31 and closes on November 30. The close-ended fund offers two plans 3 and 5 year plans with Growth and Annual Dividend Plans. Minimum investment for the fund is Rs 10,000.
The fund will invest 70 per cent in debt at any given time in AAA or higher quality paper to protect the capital with the rest being in equity. Compared to HDFC MIP funds which invest around 80% in debt and 20% in equity this has higher returns potential.

Mr Kudva said, “The fund is planning to get listed on the NSE to provide enhanced liquidity as according to SEBI guidelines, these funds cannot be repurchased,”

Please read the offer document and prospectus before investing.

UBS puts a BUY recommendation on Unitech

UBS has initiated coverage on Unitech Limited with a BUY2 rating. UBS analysts are little bit over-optimistic about the land bank saga without realizing the shady deals of the operators in Unitech counter.

UBS report is expecting income of Rs 2,703, Rs 6,382 and Rs 11,309(in crores) and EPS of Rs8.43, Rs 22.95 and Rs43.00 for the financial years 2007, 2008 and 2009. 100% YoY growth for the next 2 years. Sounds bit over optimistic projections.

UBS has set a price target of Rs444 with a Buy 2 rating. You can read the report and make your investment decision[PDF] yourself.

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